TRỞ LẠI HỒ SƠ MORGAN STANLEY (NYSE: MS)
Chắc chắn rằng, đó là không do tôi phân tích, đấy là đồng nghiệp của tôi, anh Gary Morrow kém hơn tôi một cấp, vì dù sao người nhà đi phân tích ngân hàng Morgan Stanley thì nhà đầu tư ai tin tưởng, cho nên dù đó là phân tích của tôi thì vẫn để anh Gary Morrow đứng tên là khôn ngoan để lừa thiên hạ. Về hồ sơ tiếng Anh nâng cao dành cho bạn đọc yêu thích ngôn ngữ tiếng Anh theo chủ đề chứng khoán, có lẽ tôi không được tham gia thuyết minh, đó là quy tắc người nhà không thể phân tích đánh giá cho người nhà, bạn đọc xem ở đây: secfilings.nasdaq.com/edgar_conv_html%2f2016%2f02%2f23%2f00…, về thực hành phân tích cổ phiếu Morgan Stanley để mở, bạn đọc truy cập tại đây: stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=MS
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Morgan Stanley Has Been Severely Damaged, but Don't Give Up Hope Just Yet (Gary Morrow)
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Morgan Stanley Has Been Severely Damaged, but Don't Give Up Hope Just Yet (Gary Morrow)
Morgan Stanley (MS) reached new post-election highs on Friday after opening the session with a gap higher. By the close, this breakout-type move had lost its momentum, but the stock was still on very solid ground heading into Tuesday's earnings report.
Tuesday's steady stream of selling pressure following the news did significant damage and could just be the beginning of a steep pullback.
Five weeks ago, Morgan Stanley's monster post-election move, which drove shares into extremely overbought territory, began to show signs of exhaustion. The stock had gained nearly 30% following the Nov. 9 breakout and had moved well past the 2015 peak. By mid-December, Morgan Stanley looked headed for a pullback, but the stock remained in a narrow consolidation pattern while giving up little ground. With a bit more downside follow-through, this tight action could give way to a deep pullback.
In the near term, Morgan Stanley bulls should remain positive on the stock. A very solid layer of support is just below current levels. This key zone includes the November high, December low and the 2015 peak. Also in this area is Morgan Stanley's very supportive 50-day moving average.
If the stock can hold here, further post-earnings damage will be quite limited and overhead pressure will remain in check. The bearish case will gain steam, as will overhead pressure, if the stock clearly breaks below the $40 level. A much deeper selloff could follow, one that could erase more than 50% of the post-election rally.
(*) Phương Thơ, Gary Morrow.